Prime ML Markets

Chance NHL markets beyond shots, sorted by start time.

17 matches priced | 411 matched market rows | bankroll guide 100,000 at Kelly × 0.25

Matchup	ML	3Way	DNB	Total
Chicago Blackhawks @ New York Rangers Projected goals 2.50 | 3.31	Moneyline 1 2 Projection 2.42 1.70 Chance 2.48 1.55 Edge +2.4% -9.0% Win chance 41.27% 58.73%	3Way 1 X 2 Projection 3.51 3.90 2.18 Chance 3.46 4.18 1.94 Edge -1.5% +7.1% -10.9% Win chance 28.46% 25.63% 45.91%	DNB 1 2 Projection 2.61 1.62 Chance 2.62 1.50 Edge +0.3% -7.4% Win chance 38.26% 61.74%	Total Over Under Projection 2.53 1.65 Chance 2.06 1.80 Edge -18.6% +8.8% Win chance 39.53% 60.47% main line 6.5
Detroit Red Wings @ Buffalo Sabres Projected goals 2.92 | 3.37	Moneyline 1 2 Projection 2.18 1.85 Chance 2.29 1.65 Edge +5.3% -10.8% Win chance 45.96% 54.04%	3Way 1 X 2 Projection 3.02 3.89 2.43 Chance 3.13 4.07 2.09 Edge +3.6% +4.7% -13.9% Win chance 33.10% 25.72% 41.18%	DNB 1 2 Projection 2.24 1.80 Chance 2.37 1.60 Edge +5.6% -11.3% Win chance 44.56% 55.44%	Total Over Under Projection 2.11 1.90 Chance 2.07 1.78 Edge -1.9% -6.4% Win chance 47.41% 52.59% main line 6.5
Anaheim Ducks @ Edmonton Oilers Projected goals 3.43 | 3.62	Moneyline 1 2 Projection 2.03 1.97 Chance 2.05 1.69 Edge +0.9% -14.2% Win chance 49.23% 50.77%	3Way 1 X 2 Projection 2.73 3.96 2.62 Chance 2.73 3.90 2.20 Edge -0.1% -1.5% -16.1% Win chance 36.60% 25.27% 38.14%	DNB 1 2 Projection 2.04 1.96 Chance 2.09 1.66 Edge +2.3% -15.3% Win chance 48.97% 51.03%	Total Over Under Projection 1.69 2.45 Chance 1.70 2.02 Edge +0.5% -17.4% Win chance 59.12% 40.88% main line 6.5
Dallas Stars @ Pittsburgh Penguins Projected goals 3.44 | 3.16	Moneyline 1 2 Projection 1.83 2.21 Chance 1.80 1.90 Edge -1.4% -14.1% Win chance 54.77% 45.23%	3Way 1 X 2 Projection 2.38 3.94 3.07 Chance 2.40 3.70 2.56 Edge +1.0% -6.0% -16.7% Win chance 42.07% 25.40% 32.53%	DNB 1 2 Projection 1.77 2.29 Chance 1.79 1.91 Edge +0.9% -16.7% Win chance 56.39% 43.61%	Total Over Under Projection 1.91 2.10 Chance 1.88 1.82 Edge -1.6% -13.3% Win chance 52.36% 47.64% main line 6.5
Florida Panthers @ New York Islanders Projected goals 3.26 | 3.27	Moneyline 1 2 Projection 1.95 2.05 Chance 2.16 1.62 Edge +10.9% -21.2% Win chance 51.33% 48.67%	3Way 1 X 2 Projection 2.60 3.90 2.79 Chance 2.91 3.90 2.10 Edge +12.1% +0.0% -24.7% Win chance 38.51% 25.64% 35.85%	DNB 1 2 Projection 1.93 2.07 Chance 2.23 1.58 Edge +15.5% -23.8% Win chance 51.79% 48.21%	Total Over Under Projection 1.95 2.05 Chance 2.06 1.68 Edge +5.8% -18.2% Win chance 51.34% 48.66% main line 6.5
Minnesota Wild @ Boston Bruins Projected goals 3.28 | 3.43	Moneyline 1 2 Projection 2.02 1.98 Chance 1.89 1.81 Edge -6.3% -8.8% Win chance 49.59% 50.41%	3Way 1 X 2 Projection 2.72 3.92 2.66 Chance 2.51 3.80 2.40 Edge -7.6% -3.0% -9.6% Win chance 36.83% 25.52% 37.65%	DNB 1 2 Projection 2.02 1.98 Chance 1.89 1.81 Edge -6.6% -8.5% Win chance 49.44% 50.56%	Total Over Under Projection 1.85 2.17 Chance 1.90 1.80 Edge +2.6% -17.2% Win chance 54.00% 46.00% main line 6.5
Montreal Canadiens @ Nashville Predators Projected goals 3.40 | 3.54	Moneyline 1 2 Projection 2.01 1.99 Chance 1.79 1.92 Edge -11.1% -3.4% Win chance 49.68% 50.32%	3Way 1 X 2 Projection 2.70 3.94 2.66 Chance 2.40 3.60 2.61 Edge -11.2% -8.7% -1.7% Win chance 37.00% 25.35% 37.65%	DNB 1 2 Projection 2.02 1.98 Chance 1.77 1.93 Edge -12.3% -2.7% Win chance 49.57% 50.43%	Total Over Under Projection 1.74 2.35 Chance 1.81 1.90 Edge +4.0% -19.2% Win chance 57.45% 42.55% main line 6.5
New Jersey Devils @ Carolina Hurricanes Projected goals 2.92 | 3.64	Moneyline 1 2 Projection 2.34 1.75 Chance 2.38 1.51 Edge +1.9% -13.7% Win chance 42.82% 57.18%	3Way 1 X 2 Projection 3.31 3.97 2.24 Chance 3.21 4.19 1.90 Edge -2.9% +5.4% -15.3% Win chance 30.24% 25.16% 44.60%	DNB 1 2 Projection 2.47 1.68 Chance 2.49 1.46 Edge +0.6% -13.0% Win chance 40.41% 59.59%	Total Over Under Projection 1.62 2.60 Chance 1.68 2.06 Edge +3.5% -20.9% Win chance 61.58% 38.42% main line 5.5
Ottawa Senators @ Tampa Bay Lightning Projected goals 3.36 | 3.06	Moneyline 1 2 Projection 1.82 2.22 Chance 2.26 1.56 Edge +24.4% -29.9% Win chance 55.04% 44.96%	3Way 1 X 2 Projection 2.37 3.92 3.11 Chance 3.07 3.90 2.02 Edge +29.8% -0.4% -35.0% Win chance 42.27% 25.53% 32.20%	DNB 1 2 Projection 1.76 2.31 Chance 2.35 1.52 Edge +33.4% -34.3% Win chance 56.76% 43.24%	Total Over Under Projection 2.02 1.98 Chance 1.95 1.76 Edge -3.6% -11.0% Win chance 49.41% 50.59% main line 6.5
Philadelphia Flyers @ Detroit Red Wings Projected goals 2.79 | 3.25	Moneyline 1 2 Projection 2.19 1.84 Chance 2.06 1.68 Edge -5.8% -8.8% Win chance 45.72% 54.28%	3Way 1 X 2 Projection 3.05 3.86 2.42 Chance 2.78 3.81 2.20 Edge -9.0% -1.2% -9.1% Win chance 32.75% 25.94% 41.31%	DNB 1 2 Projection 2.26 1.79 Chance 2.11 1.65 Edge -6.7% -8.0% Win chance 44.22% 55.78%	Total Over Under Projection 1.88 2.14 Chance 1.80 1.90 Edge -4.1% -11.2% Win chance 53.25% 46.75% main line 5.5
San Jose Sharks @ Columbus Blue Jackets Projected goals 2.71 | 3.62	Moneyline 1 2 Projection 2.48 1.68 Chance 2.56 1.44 Edge +3.4% -14.2% Win chance 40.39% 59.61%	3Way 1 X 2 Projection 3.59 4.00 2.12 Chance 3.54 4.20 1.80 Edge -1.3% +4.9% -15.2% Win chance 27.89% 24.99% 47.12%	DNB 1 2 Projection 2.69 1.59 Chance 2.73 1.39 Edge +1.5% -12.7% Win chance 37.18% 62.82%	Total Over Under Projection 2.09 1.92 Chance 1.85 1.85 Edge -11.5% -3.5% Win chance 47.82% 52.18% main line 6.5
Seattle Kraken @ Buffalo Sabres Projected goals 2.62 | 3.74	Moneyline 1 2 Projection 2.63 1.61 Chance 2.49 1.46 Edge -5.5% -9.4% Win chance 37.97% 62.03%	3Way 1 X 2 Projection 3.89 4.09 2.01 Chance 3.43 4.11 1.85 Edge -11.7% +0.6% -7.9% Win chance 25.73% 24.47% 49.79%	DNB 1 2 Projection 2.94 1.52 Chance 2.63 1.41 Edge -10.4% -7.0% Win chance 34.07% 65.93%	Total Over Under Projection 2.07 1.93 Chance 1.97 1.74 Edge -5.0% -9.9% Win chance 48.24% 51.76% main line 6.5
Toronto Maple Leafs @ St Louis Blues Projected goals 2.66 | 3.52	Moneyline 1 2 Projection 2.45 1.69 Chance 2.06 1.68 Edge -15.8% -0.7% Win chance 40.89% 59.11%	3Way 1 X 2 Projection 3.54 3.97 2.15 Chance 2.78 3.81 2.20 Edge -21.4% -4.0% +2.3% Win chance 28.29% 25.20% 46.51%	DNB 1 2 Projection 2.64 1.61 Chance 2.11 1.65 Edge -20.2% +2.6% Win chance 37.82% 62.18%	Total Over Under Projection 2.20 1.83 Chance 1.97 1.74 Edge -10.4% -5.1% Win chance 45.48% 54.52% main line 6.5
Utah Mammoth @ Los Angeles Kings Projected goals 3.09 | 3.18	Moneyline 1 2 Projection 1.99 2.01 Chance 1.80 1.90 Edge -9.4% -5.6% Win chance 50.31% 49.69%	3Way 1 X 2 Projection 2.68 3.86 2.72 Chance 2.40 3.70 2.55 Edge -10.3% -4.2% -6.3% Win chance 37.37% 25.88% 36.75%	DNB 1 2 Projection 1.98 2.02 Chance 1.79 1.91 Edge -9.8% -5.3% Win chance 50.42% 49.58%	Total Over Under Projection 1.75 2.33 Chance 1.85 1.85 Edge +5.7% -20.7% Win chance 57.14% 42.86% main line 5.5
Vancouver Canucks @ Calgary Flames Projected goals 2.71 | 3.69	Moneyline 1 2 Projection 2.52 1.66 Chance 2.23 1.58 Edge -11.5% -4.7% Win chance 39.70% 60.30%	3Way 1 X 2 Projection 3.66 4.03 2.09 Chance 3.00 3.91 2.05 Edge -18.1% -3.0% -1.8% Win chance 27.30% 24.80% 47.90%	DNB 1 2 Projection 2.75 1.57 Chance 2.30 1.54 Edge -16.5% -1.9% Win chance 36.30% 63.70%	Total Over Under Projection 2.05 1.96 Chance 1.89 1.81 Edge -7.7% -7.4% Win chance 48.86% 51.14% main line 6.5
Washington Capitals @ Vegas Golden Knights Projected goals 2.80 | 3.24	Moneyline 1 2 Projection 2.17 1.85 Chance 2.21 1.59 Edge +1.7% -14.2% Win chance 46.01% 53.99%	3Way 1 X 2 Projection 3.03 3.85 2.44 Chance 2.95 4.01 2.05 Edge -2.6% +4.1% -15.9% Win chance 33.03% 25.95% 41.02%	DNB 1 2 Projection 2.24 1.81 Chance 2.28 1.55 Edge +1.7% -14.1% Win chance 44.61% 55.39%	Total Over Under Projection 1.88 2.14 Chance 1.72 2.00 Edge -8.3% -6.6% Win chance 53.32% 46.68% main line 5.5
Winnipeg Jets @ Colorado Avalanche Projected goals 2.92 | 3.34	Moneyline 1 2 Projection 2.16 1.86 Chance 2.78 1.38 Edge +28.7% -25.9% Win chance 46.29% 53.71%	3Way 1 X 2 Projection 2.99 3.88 2.45 Chance 3.92 4.31 1.70 Edge +31.0% +11.0% -30.6% Win chance 33.41% 25.76% 40.83%	DNB 1 2 Projection 2.22 1.82 Chance 3.02 1.32 Edge +35.9% -27.4% Win chance 45.00% 55.00%	Total Over Under Projection 2.12 1.89 Chance 2.00 1.72 Edge -5.8% -9.0% Win chance 47.10% 52.90% main line 6.5

Win bets

Game	Selection	Line	Book	Fair	Win%	EV
Florida Panthers @ New York Islanders	Florida Panthers		2.23	1.93	51.79%	+15.48%
Florida Panthers @ New York Islanders	Florida Panthers		2.91	2.60	38.51%	+12.05%
Florida Panthers @ New York Islanders	Florida Panthers		2.16	1.95	51.33%	+10.87%
Ottawa Senators @ Tampa Bay Lightning	Ottawa Senators		2.35	1.76	56.76%	+33.40%
Ottawa Senators @ Tampa Bay Lightning	Ottawa Senators		3.07	2.37	42.27%	+29.78%
Ottawa Senators @ Tampa Bay Lightning	Ottawa Senators		2.26	1.82	55.04%	+24.39%
Winnipeg Jets @ Colorado Avalanche	Winnipeg Jets		3.02	2.22	45.00%	+35.91%
Winnipeg Jets @ Colorado Avalanche	Winnipeg Jets		3.92	2.99	33.41%	+30.96%
Winnipeg Jets @ Colorado Avalanche	Winnipeg Jets		2.78	2.16	46.29%	+28.69%
Winnipeg Jets @ Colorado Avalanche	Draw		4.31	3.88	25.76%	+11.04%

Handicap bets

Game	Selection	Line	Book	Fair	Win%	EV
Chicago Blackhawks @ New York Rangers	Chicago Blackhawks	2.0	1.41	1.26	79.24%	+11.73%
Chicago Blackhawks @ New York Rangers	Chicago Blackhawks	1.5	1.59	1.44	69.28%	+10.15%
Detroit Red Wings @ Buffalo Sabres	Detroit Red Wings	2.0	1.34	1.22	82.15%	+10.08%
Florida Panthers @ New York Islanders	Florida Panthers	-1.0	3.44	2.94	33.99%	+16.92%
Ottawa Senators @ Tampa Bay Lightning	Ottawa Senators	-1.0	3.65	2.59	38.56%	+40.76%
Ottawa Senators @ Tampa Bay Lightning	Ottawa Senators	1.5	1.46	1.25	80.30%	+17.23%
Ottawa Senators @ Tampa Bay Lightning	Ottawa Senators	2.0	1.31	1.13	88.28%	+15.65%
Ottawa Senators @ Tampa Bay Lightning	Ottawa Senators	1.0	1.56	1.36	73.64%	+14.87%
Ottawa Senators @ Tampa Bay Lightning	Ottawa Senators	-1.5	3.97	3.54	28.22%	+12.05%
Winnipeg Jets @ Colorado Avalanche	Winnipeg Jets	1.5	1.68	1.37	73.22%	+23.01%
Winnipeg Jets @ Colorado Avalanche	Winnipeg Jets	2.0	1.48	1.21	82.45%	+22.03%
Winnipeg Jets @ Colorado Avalanche	Winnipeg Jets	1.0	1.88	1.58	63.35%	+19.10%

Goal totals

Game	Selection	Line	Book	Fair	Win%	EV
Chicago Blackhawks @ New York Rangers	Under	4.5	4.20	3.66	27.31%	+14.70%
Chicago Blackhawks @ New York Rangers	Under	5.5	2.20	1.98	50.61%	+11.34%
Utah Mammoth @ Los Angeles Kings	Over	7.5	4.08	3.70	27.01%	+10.19%

Chicago Blackhawks @ New York Rangers

2026-03-27 | n/a UTC

Moneyline

Chicago Blackhawks: book 2.48 | fair 2.42

New York Rangers: book 1.55 | fair 1.70

Expected goals

Chicago Blackhawks: 2.50

New York Rangers: 3.31

Base shots

Chicago Blackhawks: 26.54

New York Rangers: 27.56

Schedule trigger

Chicago Blackhawks: -0.80

New York Rangers: +0.58

Roster events

Chicago Blackhawks: +0.00

New York Rangers: +0.01

Goalie layer is active here. When same-day goalie signals are available, it now follows the projected starter from Daily Faceoff or MoneyPuck and then applies that goalie's rolling GSAx/60 prior: Chicago Blackhawks Soderblom (+0.12 GSAx/60), New York Rangers Garand (+0.65 GSAx/60).

Schedule-trigger layer on xG means: Chicago Blackhawks -0.80 (b2b_AA_short_121_500_after_loss), New York Rangers +0.58 (rest1_home_medium_501_1000_after_loss).

Roster-event memory on xG means: Chicago Blackhawks +0.00; New York Rangers +0.01 | own attack: Artemi Panarin | opp defense: Connor Murphy, Kevin Korchinski.

Win bets

Selection	Line	Book	Fair	Win%	EV	Kelly%
Draw		4.18	3.90	25.63%	+7.14%	+2.25%

Handicap bets

Selection	Line	Book	Fair	Win%	EV	Kelly%
Chicago Blackhawks	2.0	1.41	1.26	79.24%	+11.73%	+28.62%
Chicago Blackhawks	1.5	1.59	1.44	69.28%	+10.15%	+17.20%

Goal totals

Selection	Line	Book	Fair	Win%	EV	Kelly%
Under	4.5	4.20	3.66	27.31%	+14.70%	+4.59%
Under	5.5	2.20	1.98	50.61%	+11.34%	+9.45%
Under	6.5	1.80	1.65	60.47%	+8.84%	+11.05%

Detroit Red Wings @ Buffalo Sabres

2026-03-27 | n/a UTC

Moneyline

Detroit Red Wings: book 2.29 | fair 2.18

Buffalo Sabres: book 1.65 | fair 1.85

Expected goals

Detroit Red Wings: 2.92

Buffalo Sabres: 3.37

Base shots

Detroit Red Wings: 27.85

Buffalo Sabres: 29.16

Schedule trigger

Detroit Red Wings: +0.00

Buffalo Sabres: +0.79

Roster events

Detroit Red Wings: +0.00

Buffalo Sabres: +0.00

Goalie layer is active here. When same-day goalie signals are available, it now follows the projected starter from Daily Faceoff or MoneyPuck and then applies that goalie's rolling GSAx/60 prior: Detroit Red Wings John Gibson (+0.23 GSAx/60), Buffalo Sabres Lyon (+0.71 GSAx/60).

Schedule-trigger layer on xG means: Detroit Red Wings +0.00 (rest2_away_short_121_500_after_loss), Buffalo Sabres +0.79 (rest1_home_same_city_after_loss).

Roster-event memory on xG means: Detroit Red Wings +0.00; Buffalo Sabres +0.00.

Win bets

Selection	Line	Book	Fair	Win%	EV	Kelly%
Detroit Red Wings		2.37	2.24	44.56%	+5.61%	+4.10%
Detroit Red Wings		2.29	2.18	45.96%	+5.25%	+4.07%

Handicap bets

Selection	Line	Book	Fair	Win%	EV	Kelly%
Detroit Red Wings	2.0	1.34	1.22	82.15%	+10.08%	+29.64%
Detroit Red Wings	1.5	1.50	1.37	72.89%	+9.34%	+18.68%

Anaheim Ducks @ Edmonton Oilers

2026-03-28 | n/a UTC

Moneyline

Anaheim Ducks: book 2.05 | fair 2.03

Edmonton Oilers: book 1.69 | fair 1.97

Expected goals

Anaheim Ducks: 3.43

Edmonton Oilers: 3.62

Base shots

Anaheim Ducks: 28.42

Edmonton Oilers: 29.63

Schedule trigger

Anaheim Ducks: -0.75

Edmonton Oilers: +0.00

Roster events

Anaheim Ducks: -0.06

Edmonton Oilers: -0.17

Goalie layer is active here. When same-day goalie signals are available, it now follows the projected starter from Daily Faceoff or MoneyPuck and then applies that goalie's rolling GSAx/60 prior: Anaheim Ducks Ville Husso (+0.18 GSAx/60), Edmonton Oilers Connor Ingram (-0.28 GSAx/60).

Schedule-trigger layer on xG means: Anaheim Ducks -0.75 (rest1_away_short_121_500_after_win), Edmonton Oilers +0.00 (rest1_home_very_long_1500_plus_after_win).

Roster-event memory on xG means: Anaheim Ducks -0.06 | own attack: Troy Terry; Edmonton Oilers -0.17 | own attack: Leon Draisaitl.

No 5%+ EV markets matched between the model and Chance on the current pull.

Dallas Stars @ Pittsburgh Penguins

2026-03-28 | n/a UTC

Moneyline

Dallas Stars: book 1.80 | fair 1.83

Pittsburgh Penguins: book 1.90 | fair 2.21

Expected goals

Dallas Stars: 3.44

Pittsburgh Penguins: 3.16

Base shots

Dallas Stars: 26.22

Pittsburgh Penguins: 26.79

Schedule trigger

Dallas Stars: +0.00

Pittsburgh Penguins: +0.69

Roster events

Dallas Stars: -0.10

Pittsburgh Penguins: -0.12

Goalie layer is active here. When same-day goalie signals are available, it now follows the projected starter from Daily Faceoff or MoneyPuck and then applies that goalie's rolling GSAx/60 prior: Dallas Stars Jake Oettinger (-0.11 GSAx/60), Pittsburgh Penguins Stuart Skinner (+0.21 GSAx/60).

Schedule-trigger layer on xG means: Dallas Stars +0.00 (rest1_away_medium_501_1000_after_loss), Pittsburgh Penguins +0.69 (rest1_home_medium_501_1000_after_win).

Roster-event memory on xG means: Dallas Stars -0.10 | own attack: Mikko Rantanen, Roope Hintz; Pittsburgh Penguins -0.12 | own attack: Evgeni Malkin.

No 5%+ EV markets matched between the model and Chance on the current pull.

Florida Panthers @ New York Islanders

2026-03-28 | n/a UTC

Moneyline

Florida Panthers: book 2.16 | fair 1.95

New York Islanders: book 1.62 | fair 2.05

Expected goals

Florida Panthers: 3.26

New York Islanders: 3.27

Base shots

Florida Panthers: 28.02

New York Islanders: 27.82

Schedule trigger

Florida Panthers: +0.00

New York Islanders: +0.00

Roster events

Florida Panthers: -0.19

New York Islanders: +0.00

Goalie layer is active here. When same-day goalie signals are available, it now follows the projected starter from Daily Faceoff or MoneyPuck and then applies that goalie's rolling GSAx/60 prior: Florida Panthers Daniil Tarasov (-0.13 GSAx/60), New York Islanders Ilya Sorokin (+0.19 GSAx/60).

Schedule-trigger layer on xG means: Florida Panthers +0.00 (rest1_away_very_long_1500_plus_after_loss), New York Islanders +0.00 (rest1_home_same_city_after_win).

Roster-event memory on xG means: Florida Panthers -0.19 | own attack: Brad Marchand, Sam Reinhart; New York Islanders +0.00.

Win bets

Selection	Line	Book	Fair	Win%	EV	Kelly%
Florida Panthers		2.23	1.93	51.79%	+15.48%	+12.59%
Florida Panthers		2.91	2.60	38.51%	+12.05%	+6.31%
Florida Panthers		2.16	1.95	51.33%	+10.87%	+9.37%

Handicap bets

Selection	Line	Book	Fair	Win%	EV	Kelly%
Florida Panthers	-1.0	3.44	2.94	33.99%	+16.92%	+6.94%
Florida Panthers	1.5	1.42	1.30	77.19%	+9.61%	+22.88%
Florida Panthers	2.0	1.27	1.17	85.69%	+8.83%	+32.69%

Goal totals

Selection	Line	Book	Fair	Win%	EV	Kelly%
Over	7.5	3.46	3.26	30.66%	+6.08%	+2.47%
Over	6.5	2.06	1.95	51.34%	+5.75%	+5.42%

Minnesota Wild @ Boston Bruins

2026-03-28 | n/a UTC

Moneyline

Minnesota Wild: book 1.89 | fair 2.02

Boston Bruins: book 1.81 | fair 1.98

Expected goals

Minnesota Wild: 3.28

Boston Bruins: 3.43

Base shots

Minnesota Wild: 29.69

Boston Bruins: 28.69

Schedule trigger

Minnesota Wild: +0.00

Boston Bruins: +0.00

Roster events

Minnesota Wild: +0.00

Boston Bruins: +0.00

Goalie layer is active here. When same-day goalie signals are available, it now follows the projected starter from Daily Faceoff or MoneyPuck and then applies that goalie's rolling GSAx/60 prior: Minnesota Wild Jesper Wallstedt (-0.47 GSAx/60), Boston Bruins Joonas Korpisalo (+0.38 GSAx/60).

Schedule-trigger layer on xG means: Minnesota Wild +0.00 (rest1_away_very_long_1500_plus_after_win), Boston Bruins +0.00 (rest2_home_medium_501_1000_after_win).

Roster-event memory on xG means: Minnesota Wild +0.00; Boston Bruins +0.00.

No 5%+ EV markets matched between the model and Chance on the current pull.

Montreal Canadiens @ Nashville Predators

2026-03-28 | n/a UTC

Moneyline

Montreal Canadiens: book 1.79 | fair 2.01

Nashville Predators: book 1.92 | fair 1.99

Expected goals

Montreal Canadiens: 3.40

Nashville Predators: 3.54

Base shots

Montreal Canadiens: 29.08

Nashville Predators: 28.20

Schedule trigger

Montreal Canadiens: +0.00

Nashville Predators: +0.79

Roster events

Montreal Canadiens: +0.00

Nashville Predators: -0.06

Goalie layer is active here. When same-day goalie signals are available, it now follows the projected starter from Daily Faceoff or MoneyPuck and then applies that goalie's rolling GSAx/60 prior: Montreal Canadiens Jakub Dobes (+0.67 GSAx/60), Nashville Predators Justus Annunen (+0.81 GSAx/60).

Schedule-trigger layer on xG means: Montreal Canadiens +0.00 (rest1_away_very_long_1500_plus_after_win), Nashville Predators +0.79 (rest1_home_same_city_after_loss).

Roster-event memory on xG means: Montreal Canadiens +0.00; Nashville Predators -0.06 | own attack: Michael Bunting.

Goal totals

Selection	Line	Book	Fair	Win%	EV	Kelly%
Over	7.5	2.92	2.73	36.62%	+6.93%	+3.61%

New Jersey Devils @ Carolina Hurricanes

2026-03-28 | n/a UTC

Moneyline

New Jersey Devils: book 2.38 | fair 2.34

Carolina Hurricanes: book 1.51 | fair 1.75

Expected goals

New Jersey Devils: 2.92

Carolina Hurricanes: 3.64

Base shots

New Jersey Devils: 27.35

Carolina Hurricanes: 29.37

Schedule trigger

New Jersey Devils: +0.00

Carolina Hurricanes: +0.00

Roster events

New Jersey Devils: +0.05

Carolina Hurricanes: +0.00

Goalie layer is active here. When same-day goalie signals are available, it now follows the projected starter from Daily Faceoff or MoneyPuck and then applies that goalie's rolling GSAx/60 prior: New Jersey Devils Jacob Markstrom (-0.12 GSAx/60), Carolina Hurricanes Frederik Andersen (+0.39 GSAx/60).

Schedule-trigger layer on xG means: New Jersey Devils +0.00 (rest1_away_medium_501_1000_after_win), Carolina Hurricanes +0.00 (rest3plus_home_long_1001_1500_after_loss).

Roster-event memory on xG means: New Jersey Devils +0.05 | opp defense: Shayne Gostisbehere; Carolina Hurricanes +0.00.

Win bets

Selection	Line	Book	Fair	Win%	EV	Kelly%
Draw		4.19	3.97	25.16%	+5.42%	+1.70%

Handicap bets

Selection	Line	Book	Fair	Win%	EV	Kelly%
New Jersey Devils	2.0	1.34	1.27	78.84%	+5.65%	+16.62%

Goal totals

Selection	Line	Book	Fair	Win%	EV	Kelly%
Over	7.5	3.51	3.21	31.13%	+9.28%	+3.70%
Over	6.5	2.08	1.93	51.74%	+7.61%	+7.05%

Ottawa Senators @ Tampa Bay Lightning

2026-03-28 | n/a UTC

Moneyline

Ottawa Senators: book 2.26 | fair 1.82

Tampa Bay Lightning: book 1.56 | fair 2.22

Expected goals

Ottawa Senators: 3.36

Tampa Bay Lightning: 3.06

Base shots

Ottawa Senators: 30.29

Tampa Bay Lightning: 24.26

Schedule trigger

Ottawa Senators: +0.00

Tampa Bay Lightning: +0.79

Roster events

Ottawa Senators: +0.00

Tampa Bay Lightning: +0.24

Goalie layer is active here. When same-day goalie signals are available, it now follows the projected starter from Daily Faceoff or MoneyPuck and then applies that goalie's rolling GSAx/60 prior: Ottawa Senators Linus Ullmark (+0.22 GSAx/60), Tampa Bay Lightning Andrei Vasilevskiy (+0.54 GSAx/60).

Schedule-trigger layer on xG means: Ottawa Senators +0.00 (rest1_away_very_long_1500_plus_after_loss), Tampa Bay Lightning +0.79 (rest1_home_same_city_after_loss).

Roster-event memory on xG means: Ottawa Senators +0.00; Tampa Bay Lightning +0.24 | opp defense: Jake Sanderson, Nick Jensen, Thomas Chabot.

Win bets

Selection	Line	Book	Fair	Win%	EV	Kelly%
Ottawa Senators		2.35	1.76	56.76%	+33.40%	+24.74%
Ottawa Senators		3.07	2.37	42.27%	+29.78%	+14.39%
Ottawa Senators		2.26	1.82	55.04%	+24.39%	+19.35%

Handicap bets

Selection	Line	Book	Fair	Win%	EV	Kelly%
Ottawa Senators	-1.0	3.65	2.59	38.56%	+40.76%	+15.38%
Ottawa Senators	1.5	1.46	1.25	80.30%	+17.23%	+37.46%
Ottawa Senators	2.0	1.31	1.13	88.28%	+15.65%	+50.49%
Ottawa Senators	1.0	1.56	1.36	73.64%	+14.87%	+26.56%
Ottawa Senators	-1.5	3.97	3.54	28.22%	+12.05%	+4.06%

Philadelphia Flyers @ Detroit Red Wings

2026-03-28 | n/a UTC

Moneyline

Philadelphia Flyers: book 2.06 | fair 2.19

Detroit Red Wings: book 1.68 | fair 1.84

Expected goals

Philadelphia Flyers: 2.79

Detroit Red Wings: 3.25

Base shots

Philadelphia Flyers: 24.37

Detroit Red Wings: 28.18

Schedule trigger

Philadelphia Flyers: +0.00

Detroit Red Wings: +0.00

Roster events

Philadelphia Flyers: +0.00

Detroit Red Wings: +0.00

Goalie layer is active here. When same-day goalie signals are available, it now follows the projected starter from Daily Faceoff or MoneyPuck and then applies that goalie's rolling GSAx/60 prior: Philadelphia Flyers Samuel Ersson (-0.91 GSAx/60), Detroit Red Wings John Gibson (+0.23 GSAx/60).

Schedule-trigger layer on xG means: Philadelphia Flyers +0.00 (rest1_away_medium_501_1000_after_win), Detroit Red Wings +0.00 (b2b_AH_short_121_500_neutral).

Roster-event memory on xG means: Philadelphia Flyers +0.00; Detroit Red Wings +0.00.

No 5%+ EV markets matched between the model and Chance on the current pull.

San Jose Sharks @ Columbus Blue Jackets

2026-03-28 | n/a UTC

Moneyline

San Jose Sharks: book 2.56 | fair 2.48

Columbus Blue Jackets: book 1.44 | fair 1.68

Expected goals

San Jose Sharks: 2.71

Columbus Blue Jackets: 3.62

Base shots

San Jose Sharks: 25.23

Columbus Blue Jackets: 28.68

Schedule trigger

San Jose Sharks: +0.00

Columbus Blue Jackets: +0.58

Roster events

San Jose Sharks: +0.05

Columbus Blue Jackets: +0.15

Goalie layer is active here. When same-day goalie signals are available, it now follows the projected starter from Daily Faceoff or MoneyPuck and then applies that goalie's rolling GSAx/60 prior: San Jose Sharks Alex Nedeljkovic (+0.04 GSAx/60), Columbus Blue Jackets Jet Greaves (+0.17 GSAx/60).

Schedule-trigger layer on xG means: San Jose Sharks +0.00 (rest1_away_medium_501_1000_after_loss), Columbus Blue Jackets +0.58 (rest1_home_medium_501_1000_after_loss).

Roster-event memory on xG means: San Jose Sharks +0.05; Columbus Blue Jackets +0.15 | opp defense: John Klingberg, Timothy Liljegren.

Handicap bets

Selection	Line	Book	Fair	Win%	EV	Kelly%
San Jose Sharks	2.0	1.42	1.30	77.11%	+9.49%	+22.60%
San Jose Sharks	1.5	1.60	1.48	67.48%	+7.96%	+13.27%

Seattle Kraken @ Buffalo Sabres

2026-03-28 | n/a UTC

Moneyline

Seattle Kraken: book 2.49 | fair 2.63

Buffalo Sabres: book 1.46 | fair 1.61

Expected goals

Seattle Kraken: 2.62

Buffalo Sabres: 3.74

Base shots

Seattle Kraken: 25.15

Buffalo Sabres: 30.83

Schedule trigger

Seattle Kraken: +0.00

Buffalo Sabres: +0.00

Roster events

Seattle Kraken: -0.05

Buffalo Sabres: +0.00

Goalie layer is active here. When same-day goalie signals are available, it now follows the projected starter from Daily Faceoff or MoneyPuck and then applies that goalie's rolling GSAx/60 prior: Seattle Kraken Philipp Grubauer (-0.40 GSAx/60), Buffalo Sabres Lyon (+0.71 GSAx/60).

Schedule-trigger layer on xG means: Seattle Kraken +0.00 (rest1_away_very_long_1500_plus_after_win), Buffalo Sabres +0.00 (b2b_HH_same_city_neutral).

Roster-event memory on xG means: Seattle Kraken -0.05 | own attack: Jaden Schwartz, Jared McCann; Buffalo Sabres +0.00.

No 5%+ EV markets matched between the model and Chance on the current pull.

Toronto Maple Leafs @ St Louis Blues

2026-03-28 | n/a UTC

Moneyline

Toronto Maple Leafs: book 2.06 | fair 2.45

St Louis Blues: book 1.68 | fair 1.69

Expected goals

Toronto Maple Leafs: 2.66

St Louis Blues: 3.52

Base shots

Toronto Maple Leafs: 24.80

St Louis Blues: 30.85

Schedule trigger

Toronto Maple Leafs: +0.00

St Louis Blues: +0.00

Roster events

Toronto Maple Leafs: -0.15

St Louis Blues: -0.21

Goalie layer is active here. When same-day goalie signals are available, it now follows the projected starter from Daily Faceoff or MoneyPuck and then applies that goalie's rolling GSAx/60 prior: Toronto Maple Leafs Joseph Woll (-0.23 GSAx/60), St Louis Blues Joel Hofer (+0.78 GSAx/60).

Schedule-trigger layer on xG means: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.00 (rest2_away_long_1001_1500_after_win), St Louis Blues +0.00 (rest1_home_same_city_after_win).

Roster-event memory on xG means: Toronto Maple Leafs -0.15 | own attack: Auston Matthews; St Louis Blues -0.21 | own attack: Brayden Schenn, Robert Thomas.

Handicap bets

Selection	Line	Book	Fair	Win%	EV	Kelly%
St Louis Blues	-1.0	2.49	2.29	43.72%	+8.87%	+5.95%

Utah Mammoth @ Los Angeles Kings

2026-03-28 | n/a UTC

Moneyline

Utah Mammoth: book 1.80 | fair 1.99

Los Angeles Kings: book 1.90 | fair 2.01

Expected goals

Utah Mammoth: 3.09

Los Angeles Kings: 3.18

Base shots

Utah Mammoth: 25.56

Los Angeles Kings: 28.02

Schedule trigger

Utah Mammoth: +0.00

Los Angeles Kings: +0.00

Roster events

Utah Mammoth: -0.13

Los Angeles Kings: +0.05

Goalie layer is active here. When same-day goalie signals are available, it now follows the projected starter from Daily Faceoff or MoneyPuck and then applies that goalie's rolling GSAx/60 prior: Utah Mammoth Vitek Vanecek (+0.24 GSAx/60), Los Angeles Kings Darcy Kuemper (-0.12 GSAx/60).

Schedule-trigger layer on xG means: Utah Mammoth +0.00 (rest1_away_medium_501_1000_after_loss), Los Angeles Kings +0.00 (rest1_home_very_long_1500_plus_after_win).

Roster-event memory on xG means: Utah Mammoth -0.13 | own attack: Barrett Hayton; Los Angeles Kings +0.05.

Goal totals

Selection	Line	Book	Fair	Win%	EV	Kelly%
Over	7.5	4.08	3.70	27.01%	+10.19%	+3.31%
Over	6.5	2.31	2.11	47.32%	+9.31%	+7.10%
Over	5.5	1.85	1.75	57.14%	+5.71%	+6.71%

Vancouver Canucks @ Calgary Flames

2026-03-28 | n/a UTC

Moneyline

Vancouver Canucks: book 2.23 | fair 2.52

Calgary Flames: book 1.58 | fair 1.66

Expected goals

Vancouver Canucks: 2.71

Calgary Flames: 3.69

Base shots

Vancouver Canucks: 25.03

Calgary Flames: 29.89

Schedule trigger

Vancouver Canucks: +0.00

Calgary Flames: +0.79

Roster events

Vancouver Canucks: -0.04

Calgary Flames: -0.09

Goalie layer is active here. When same-day goalie signals are available, it now follows the projected starter from Daily Faceoff or MoneyPuck and then applies that goalie's rolling GSAx/60 prior: Vancouver Canucks Kevin Lankinen (-0.86 GSAx/60), Calgary Flames Devin Cooley (+0.63 GSAx/60).

Schedule-trigger layer on xG means: Vancouver Canucks +0.00 (rest1_away_medium_501_1000_after_loss), Calgary Flames +0.79 (rest1_home_same_city_after_loss).

Roster-event memory on xG means: Vancouver Canucks -0.04 | own attack: Conor Garland | opp defense: Rasmus Andersson; Calgary Flames -0.09 | own attack: Jonathan Huberdeau, Nazem Kadri | opp defense: Tyler Myers.

No 5%+ EV markets matched between the model and Chance on the current pull.

Washington Capitals @ Vegas Golden Knights

2026-03-28 | n/a UTC

Moneyline

Washington Capitals: book 2.21 | fair 2.17

Vegas Golden Knights: book 1.59 | fair 1.85

Expected goals

Washington Capitals: 2.80

Vegas Golden Knights: 3.24

Base shots

Washington Capitals: 22.66

Vegas Golden Knights: 29.17

Schedule trigger

Washington Capitals: +0.00

Vegas Golden Knights: +0.79

Roster events

Washington Capitals: +0.00

Vegas Golden Knights: +0.00

Goalie layer is active here. When same-day goalie signals are available, it now follows the projected starter from Daily Faceoff or MoneyPuck and then applies that goalie's rolling GSAx/60 prior: Washington Capitals Logan Thompson (+0.95 GSAx/60), Vegas Golden Knights Adin Hill (+0.16 GSAx/60).

Schedule-trigger layer on xG means: Washington Capitals +0.00 (rest1_away_medium_501_1000_after_win), Vegas Golden Knights +0.79 (rest1_home_same_city_after_loss).

Roster-event memory on xG means: Washington Capitals +0.00; Vegas Golden Knights +0.00.

Handicap bets

Selection	Line	Book	Fair	Win%	EV	Kelly%
Washington Capitals	2.0	1.28	1.21	82.72%	+5.88%	+20.99%

Winnipeg Jets @ Colorado Avalanche

2026-03-28 | n/a UTC

Moneyline

Winnipeg Jets: book 2.78 | fair 2.16

Colorado Avalanche: book 1.38 | fair 1.86

Expected goals

Winnipeg Jets: 2.92

Colorado Avalanche: 3.34

Base shots

Winnipeg Jets: 24.22

Colorado Avalanche: 30.57

Schedule trigger

Winnipeg Jets: +0.00

Colorado Avalanche: -0.56

Roster events

Winnipeg Jets: +0.00

Colorado Avalanche: +0.00

Goalie layer is active here. When same-day goalie signals are available, it now follows the projected starter from Daily Faceoff or MoneyPuck and then applies that goalie's rolling GSAx/60 prior: Winnipeg Jets Connor Hellebuyck (+0.14 GSAx/60), Colorado Avalanche Mackenzie Blackwood (+0.26 GSAx/60).

Schedule-trigger layer on xG means: Winnipeg Jets +0.00 (rest1_away_long_1001_1500_after_loss), Colorado Avalanche -0.56 (rest1_home_long_1001_1500_after_win).

Roster-event memory on xG means: Winnipeg Jets +0.00; Colorado Avalanche +0.00.

Win bets

Selection	Line	Book	Fair	Win%	EV	Kelly%
Winnipeg Jets		3.02	2.22	45.00%	+35.91%	+17.78%
Winnipeg Jets		3.92	2.99	33.41%	+30.96%	+10.60%
Winnipeg Jets		2.78	2.16	46.29%	+28.69%	+16.12%
Draw		4.31	3.88	25.76%	+11.04%	+3.34%

Handicap bets

Selection	Line	Book	Fair	Win%	EV	Kelly%
Winnipeg Jets	1.5	1.68	1.37	73.22%	+23.01%	+33.84%
Winnipeg Jets	2.0	1.48	1.21	82.45%	+22.03%	+45.90%
Winnipeg Jets	1.0	1.88	1.58	63.35%	+19.10%	+21.71%
Winnipeg Jets	-1.5	5.16	4.87	20.53%	+5.95%	+1.43%